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Abstract Sensitivity of ecosystem productivity to climate variability is a critical component of ecosystem resilience to climate change. Variation in ecosystem sensitivity is influenced by many variables. Here we investigate the effect of bedrock lithology and weathering products on the sensitivity of ecosystem productivity to variation in climate water deficit using Bayesian statistical models. Two thirds of terrestrial ecosystems exhibit negative sensitivity, where productivity decreases with increased climate water deficit, while the other third exhibit positive sensitivity. Variation in ecosystem sensitivity is significantly affected by regolith porosity and permeability and regolith and soil thickness, indicating that lithology, through its control on water holding capacity, exerts important controls on ecosystem sensitivity. After accounting for effects of these four variables, significant differences in sensitivity remain among ecosystems on different rock types, indicating the complexity of bedrock effects. Our analysis suggests that regolith affects ecosystem sensitivity to climate change worldwide and thus their resilience. 

The high primary porosity and permeability of eogenetic karst aquifers permit water recharged through secondary dissolution features to be temporarily stored in aquifer matrix porosity. The recharged water contains elevated dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations that, when oxidized, enhance limestone dissolution and impact carbon cycling. We evaluate the relationship between DOC oxidation and limestone dissolution using observations at a stream sink‐rise system and reversing spring in the Floridan aquifer, north‐central Florida, USA, where subsurface residence times of recharged water are days and months, respectively. We estimate water chemical compositions during surface water‐groundwater interactions at these two systems with mixing models of surface water and groundwater compositions and compare them with measured DOC, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), Ca²⁺and dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) concentrations. Differences between measured and modelled concentrations represent net changes that can be attributed to calcite dissolution and redox reactions, including DOC oxidation. DOC losses and Ca²⁺gains exhibit significant (p < 0.01) inverse linear correlations at both the reversing spring (slope = −0.9, r² = 0.99) and the sink‐rise system (slope = −0.4, r² = 0.72). DOC oxidation in both systems was associated with decreases in the molar C:N ratio (DOC:DON). Significant (p < 0.01) positive linear correlations between increases in Ca²⁺and DIC concentrations after correcting for DIC derived from calcite dissolution occurred at both the reversing spring (slope = 1.3, r² = 0.99) and the sink‐rise system (slope = 1.61, r² = 0.75). Greater deviations from the expected slope of −1 or +1 at the sink‐rise system than at the reversing spring indicate DOC oxidation contributes less dissolution at the sink‐rise system than at the reversing spring, likely from shorter storage in the subsurface. A portion of the deviation from expected slope values can be explained by the dissolution of Mg‐rich carbonate or dolomite rather than pure calcite dissolution. Despite this, slope values reflect kinetic effects controlling incomplete consumption of carbonic acid during dissolution reactions.

 

The increased environmental abundance of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen species (Nr = ammonium [NH4+], nitrite [NO2−] and nitrate [NO3−]) may increase atmospheric nitrous oxide (N2O) concentrations, and thus global warming and stratospheric ozone depletion. Nitrogen cycling and N2O production, reduction, and emissions could be amplified in carbonate karst aquifers because of their extensive global range, susceptibility to nitrogen contamination, and groundwater-surface water mixing that varies redox conditions of the aquifer. The magnitude of N2O cycling in karst aquifers is poorly known, however, and thus we sampled thirteen springs discharging from the karstic Upper Floridan Aquifer (UFA) to evaluate N2O cycling. The springs can be separated into three groups based on variations in subsurface residence times, differences in surface–groundwater interactions, and variable dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations. These springs are oxic to sub-oxic and have NO3− concentrations that range from < 0.1 to 4.2 mg N-NO3−/L and DOC concentrations that range from < 0.1 to 50 mg C/L. Maximum spring water N2O concentrations are 3.85 μg N-N2O/L or ~ 12 times greater than water equilibrated with atmospheric N2O. The highest N2O concentrations correspond with the lowest NO3− concentrations. Where recharge water has residence times of a few days, partial denitrification to N2O occurs, while complete denitrification to N2 is more prominent in springs with longer subsurface residence times. Springs with short residence times have groundwater emission factors greater than the global average of 0.0060, reflecting N2O production, whereas springs with residence times of months to years have groundwater emission factors less than the global average. These findings imply that N2O cycling in karst aquifers depends on DOC and DO concentrations in recharged surface water and subsequent time available for N processing in the subsurface. 

Along the Atlantic coast of the United States, interannual sea‐level variations of up to 20 mm are superimposed regionally upon the global average sea‐level rise (~3 mm/year) from human‐caused global warming. These variations affect the degree of coastal flooding and related damage during the highest annual tides. Interannual sea‐level variations have been attributed to several atmospheric and oceanographic processes. In the present analysis, detrended tide gauge data isolate >5‐year interannual variations. These variations can be reliably reconstructed (>77% of the variance explained) with Fourier coefficients that have frequencies related to lunar orbit (nodalandapsidalprecessions) combined withsolar activity. Although a causal relationship between astronomical forcing and extreme sea levels remains elusive, the reconstructions may provide an effective method for projections of extreme sea levels. Two reconstructions project that anomalously high sea levels may occur in the late 2020s, mid‐2050s, early 2060s, early 2070s, and late 2090s.

 

Recent work demonstrates extensive nutrient exports from outlet glaciers of the Greenland Ice Sheet. In comparison, nutrient exports are poorly defined for deglaciated watersheds that were exposed during ice retreat and retain reactive comminuted glacial sediments. Nutrient exports from deglaciated watersheds may differ from glacial watersheds due to their longer exposure times, more mature chemical weathering, and ecosystem succession. To evaluate nutrient exports from glacial and deglaciated watersheds, we compare discharge and dissolved (<0.45 μm filtered) nutrient concentrations in two glacial and six non‐glacial streams in southwestern and southern Greenland. Glacial streams have orders of magnitude greater instantaneous discharge than non‐glacial streams but their specific discharges are more similar, differing by up to a factor of 10. Compared with non‐glacial streams, filtered water of glacial streams have on average (1) higher inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and PO₄concentrations, lower Si concentrations, and Fe concentrations that are not statistically different; (2) higher DIN and PO₄but lower Si specific yields; and (3) lower DIN/PO₄, Si/DIN, and Fe/PO₄ratios, but indistinguishable Fe/DIN. Maximum specific yields occur in early melt season prior to maximum solar radiation for non‐glacial streams, and in mid‐melt season as solar radiation wanes for proglacial streams. Impacts to coastal ecosystems from nutrient exports depend on suspended sediment loads and processing in the estuaries, but landscape exposure during glacial terminations should decrease DIN and dissolved PO₄and increase dissolved Si exports, while increased meltwater runoff associated with future warming should increase DIN and dissolved PO₄and decrease dissolved Si exports.

 

Riverine input of terrestrial dissolved organic matter (DOM) is an important component of the marine carbon cycle and drives net carbon dioxide production in coastal zones. DOM exports to the Arctic Ocean are likely to increase due to melting of permafrost and the Greenland Ice Sheet, but the quantity and quality of DOM exports from deglaciated watersheds in Greenland, as well as expected changes with future melting, are unknown. We compare DOM quantity and quality in Greenland over the melt seasons of 2017–2018 between two rivers directly draining the Greenland Ice Sheet (meltwater rivers) and four streams draining deglaciated catchments that are disconnected from the ice (nonglacial streams). We couple these data with discharge records to compare dissolved organic carbon (DOC) exports. DOM sources and quality differ significantly between watershed types: fluorescence characteristics and organic molar C:N ratios suggest that DOM from deglaciated watersheds is derived from terrestrial vegetation and soil organic matter, while that in glacial watersheds contains greater proportions of algal and/or freshly produced biomass and may be more reactive. DOC specific yield is similar for nonglacial streams (0.1–1.2 Mg/km²/year) compared to a glacial meltwater river (0.2–1.1 Mg/km²/year), despite orders of magnitude differences in instantaneous discharge. Upscaling based on land cover leads to an estimate of total DOC contributions from Greenland between 0.2 and 0.5 Tg/year, much of which is derived from deglaciated watersheds. These results suggest that future warming and ice retreat may increase DOC fluxes from Greenland with consequences for the Arctic carbon cycle.

 

The standard model for aquatic ecosystems is to link hydrologic connectivity to dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration and dissolved organic matter (DOM) composition and, ultimately, reactivity. Studies across effective precipitation gradients have been suggested as models for predicting how carbon cycling will change in Arctic aquatic ecosystems with projected drying (i.e., reduced hydrologic connectivity). To evaluate links between DOM dynamics and hydrologic connectivity, 41 stream samples from Greenland were analyzed across an effective precipitation gradient for DOM optical properties and elemental composition using ultrahigh‐resolution mass spectrometry. Sites with negative effective precipitation and decreased hydrologic connectivity exhibited elevated specific conductivity (SpC) and DOC concentrations as well as DOM composition indicative of decreased hydrologic connectivity, for example, lower aromaticity, assessed using carbon‐specific UV absorbance at 254 nm, decreased relative abundances of polyphenolic and condensed aromatic compounds, and increased relative abundances of highly unsaturated and phenolic compounds. Allochthonous inputs decreased as the summer progressed as exhibited by decreases in aromatic compounds. A decrease in molecular richness and N‐containing compounds coincided with the decrease in allochthonous inputs. DOC concentrations increased over the summer but more slowly than SpC, suggesting degradation processes outweighed combined evapoconcentration and production. The patterns in DOM composition suggest evapoconcentration and photodegradation are dominant controls. However, when hydrologic connectivity was high, regardless of effective precipitation, DOM reflected allochthonous sources such as snowmelt‐fed wetlands. These results highlight the challenges of modeling carbon cycling in aquatic ecosystems across effective precipitation gradients, particularly those with strong seasonality and regional variability in hydrologic inputs.